NY Cosmos vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NY Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 1
FOR
56%
21%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 0
TAM
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
NYC
37%
27%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NYC
3 - 0
EDM
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 3
NYC
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 1
MIN
30%
22%
48%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
OTT
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
JAC
1 - 3
OTT
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
OTT
1 - 0
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 1
OTT
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |