NY Cosmos vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NY Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
NYC
0 - 1
NYC
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
NYC
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 0
JER
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
NYC
1 - 0
RAY
67%
20%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 2
EIB
31%
25%
45%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
DCU
2 - 0
NER
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
VAN
1 - 2
NER
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
NER
17%
20%
63%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
NER
2 - 1
SES
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NER
2 - 4
DAL
35%
26%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |