NY Cosmos vs Black Rock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NY Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
KST
0 - 2
NYC
10%
19%
72%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
NYC
2 - 0
NYA
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 25 | 42 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
SFD
2 - 0
NYC
45%
23%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -3 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MIA
0 - 0
NYC
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PTR
2 - 5
NYC
24%
27%
50%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Black Rock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
GBF
1 - 2
NEW
17%
17%
66%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 2
GBF
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
WES
0 - 2
GBF
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
GBF
4 - 1
POR
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
GBF
3 - 4
CAC
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |