NY Cosmos vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NY Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 0
NYC
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
NYC
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 0
JAC
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
NYC
3 - 0
OTT
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NYC
3 - 2
OTT
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
OTT
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 3
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
MIN
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
IND
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |