Nws Spirit vs Sydney United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
65.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
11º
39
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nws Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SYD
1 - 0
NWS
84%
10%
7%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 1
NWS
84%
11%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 1
NWS
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NWS
0 - 0
SYD
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
NWS
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sydney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 4
SYD
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 1
WOL
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 1
SYD
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 3
ROC
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 1
SUT
70%
17%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |