Nws Spirit vs St George City FA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
82.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
11º
51
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nws Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NWS
2 - 0
BUA
41%
22%
37%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 1
NWS
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
NWS
0 - 4
NTI
23%
20%
58%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
St George City FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STG
3 - 4
ROC
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
RLF
2 - 3
STG
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
MDT
1 - 1
STG
70%
17%
14%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SYD
4 - 0
STG
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
SUT
0 - 0
STG
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +1 |