Nws Spirit vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
85.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
11º
42
8º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nws Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
MDT
0 - 0
NWS
93%
6%
2%
|
8 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NWS
0 - 1
CCM
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 0
NWS
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 2
NWS
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NWS
2 - 2
STG
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
STG
76%
15%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
SYD
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 0
MAN
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 3
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |