Nürnberg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
48.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
13º
9º
46
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HEI
2 - 2
NUR
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NUR
4 - 1
SDH
83%
10%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
NUR
6 - 1
GRE
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NUR
3 - 5
ING
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 1
NUR
13%
18%
70%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 1
MAI
49%
20%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DMI
1 - 2
MAI
10%
14%
76%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 1
DMI
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 2
MUN
78%
13%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
KAR
5 - 3
MAI
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |