Nürnberg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
HOF
3 - 2
NUR
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NUR
1 - 1
KAR
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
STU
5 - 0
NUR
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
KAR
3 - 1
NUR
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
NUR
0 - 1
BYM
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MAI
1 - 4
FRE
25%
23%
53%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
HOF
1 - 2
MAI
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
MAI
2 - 0
SSU
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
BYM
4 - 2
MAI
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
MAI
0 - 4
KAI
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |