Nürnberg U19 vs Karlsruher SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
7º
4º
21
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
21 | 37 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 25 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 24 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 21 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 17 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 17 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 10 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 9 |
8º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 0
NUR
72%
16%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NUR
2 - 2
DAR
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 2
NUR
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
NUR
1 - 5
HEI
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SDH
3 - 6
NUR
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
8 - 0
KOF
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 3
KAR
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 3
KAR
37%
23%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 2
FRA
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 1
KAR
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |