Nürnberg U19 vs Bayern München U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
3º
27
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 1 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 4
NUR
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NUR
2 - 0
AUG
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DAR
1 - 1
NUR
26%
22%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NUR
3 - 7
MAI
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HEI
0 - 0
NUR
22%
22%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern München U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BYM
2 - 0
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 3
STU
38%
23%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 2
BYM
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
VPL
3 - 3
BYM
43%
23%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AWS
1 - 3
BYM
22%
19%
60%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |