Nürnberg II vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
MEM
3 - 0
NUR
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
NUR
4 - 1
GRO
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
TSV
1 - 2
NUR
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
NUR
1 - 4
186
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
UNT
0 - 3
NUR
34%
25%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
WUR
4 - 0
JRE
36%
24%
41%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
WEI
1 - 1
WUR
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
WUR
1 - 4
GRE
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
FUR
1 - 1
WUR
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WUR
1 - 1
BAY
41%
24%
36%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |