Nürnberg II vs Weiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MEM
0 - 0
NUR
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
NUR
6 - 0
ISM
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WOL
0 - 1
NUR
9%
17%
74%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
SCS
0 - 3
NUR
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
NUR
2 - 2
GRO
68%
18%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
WEI
1 - 0
SCS
49%
26%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
GRO
3 - 3
WEI
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WEI
4 - 4
FUR
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FRO
3 - 0
WEI
39%
26%
36%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
WEI
0 - 2
ING
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |