Nürnberg II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NUR
2 - 0
WAC
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VRG
0 - 0
NUR
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
NUR
1 - 1
GRE
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 0
NUR
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NUR
2 - 2
SCH
33%
23%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
VRG
0 - 0
VIK
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VIK
1 - 4
BAY
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 0
VIK
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VIK
3 - 1
ILL
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 3
VIK
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |