Nürnberg II vs Unterföhring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NUR
1 - 0
WAC
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
NUR
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NUR
2 - 0
MEM
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
VRG
1 - 2
NUR
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
NUR
3 - 2
BAY
55%
21%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Unterföhring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 2
UNT
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
UNT
1 - 5
VRG
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ING
5 - 1
UNT
78%
14%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
UNT
2 - 3
SEL
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 0
UNT
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |