Nürnberg II vs Quelle Furth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ANS
1 - 1
NUR
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
NUR
0 - 3
186
35%
26%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -3 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
FUR
0 - 2
NUR
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
NUR
0 - 0
TSV
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
TSA
1 - 1
NUR
23%
24%
54%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Quelle Furth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
QUF
2 - 2
WEI
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
QUF
3 - 2
GER
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
QUF
1 - 0
JRE
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
UNT
2 - 0
QUF
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
QUF
2 - 3
FCF
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |