Nürnberg II vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
SVS
1 - 1
NUR
64%
19%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
NUR
0 - 0
SCW
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
FCS
1 - 2
NUR
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
NUR
2 - 1
JFO
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
ANS
2 - 2
NUR
19%
24%
58%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
TSA
0 - 5
TSV
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
FCP
1 - 4
TSA
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
TSA
1 - 1
KEM
86%
11%
4%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
WUR
0 - 1
TSA
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
SVS
5 - 1
TSA
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |