Nürnberg II vs SC 04 Schwabach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NUR
0 - 1
FUR
74%
16%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 0
NUR
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
NUR
2 - 1
ING
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
JRE
0 - 0
NUR
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
TSV
1 - 2
NUR
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC 04 Schwabach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
SCS
1 - 3
GRO
46%
23%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
FUR
2 - 2
SCS
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
SCS
0 - 1
FRO
42%
26%
33%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ING
2 - 3
SCS
75%
17%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
JRE
1 - 0
SCS
59%
22%
20%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |