Nürnberg II vs Rain / Lech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
NUR
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
NUR
3 - 3
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 1
NUR
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
NUR
2 - 2
EIN
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
VIK
2 - 2
NUR
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
RAI
2 - 2
SCH
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
186
3 - 1
RAI
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
RAI
0 - 2
WUR
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
HEI
3 - 3
RAI
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
RAI
0 - 3
ROS
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |