Nürnberg II vs Memmingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ISM
0 - 1
NUR
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NUR
0 - 1
SCS
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NUR
0 - 1
FUR
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 0
NUR
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
NUR
2 - 1
ING
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
MEM
0 - 0
SCS
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
MEM
1 - 2
ING
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
JRE
3 - 0
MEM
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
MEM
0 - 1
TSV
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
UNT
1 - 1
MEM
41%
27%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |