Nürnberg II vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
FUR
1 - 5
NUR
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
NUR
0 - 2
BAY
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
WUR
2 - 1
NUR
15%
21%
63%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
NUR
1 - 0
MEM
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
GRO
4 - 1
NUR
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 1
JRE
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
JRE
2 - 2
FUR
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
BAY
1 - 1
JRE
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
JRE
1 - 1
WUR
73%
16%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
MEM
3 - 1
JRE
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |