Nürnberg II vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
WEI
1 - 4
NUR
29%
26%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NUR
4 - 2
GRE
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
NUR
2 - 0
FUR
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BAY
2 - 0
NUR
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
NUR
1 - 0
WUR
73%
16%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ISM
0 - 0
JRE
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
JRE
1 - 1
WEI
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
JRE
0 - 1
GRE
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
FUR
2 - 3
JRE
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
JRE
5 - 0
BAY
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |