Nürnberg II vs Jahn Forchheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
ANS
2 - 2
NUR
19%
24%
58%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
NUR
1 - 1
FEU
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
TSV
2 - 2
NUR
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1999 |
NUR
0 - 1
SCS
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
SVS
0 - 0
NUR
54%
21%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Forchheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
JFO
0 - 2
TSV
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
FCP
1 - 1
JFO
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
JFO
0 - 4
QUF
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
SVL
3 - 1
JFO
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
JFO
5 - 0
FEU
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |