Nürnberg II vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 1
NUR
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NUR
3 - 0
FRO
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NUR
1 - 0
ROS
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
ING
2 - 2
NUR
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NUR
0 - 1
MEM
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 0
AUG
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ILL
3 - 0
SEL
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ROS
1 - 0
ILL
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 1
RAI
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ING
1 - 3
ILL
49%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |