Nürnberg II vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
REU
0 - 0
NUR
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NUR
1 - 1
BAY
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
EIN
0 - 2
NUR
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NUR
3 - 1
FRA
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
KSC
0 - 2
NUR
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
HES
0 - 1
VFR
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HES
1 - 1
FRE
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
REU
1 - 1
HES
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HES
1 - 0
BAY
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
EIN
3 - 1
HES
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |