Nürnberg II vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
AUG
4 - 2
NUR
25%
24%
50%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NUR
3 - 1
ILL
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
AUB
0 - 1
NUR
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NUR
2 - 2
WAC
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NUR
1 - 0
GRE
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HEI
1 - 0
WAC
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
HEI
4 - 3
ROS
67%
17%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 0
HEI
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
RAI
4 - 2
HEI
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
HEI
2 - 0
BUC
42%
23%
36%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +3 |