Nürnberg II vs Hankofen-Hailing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
16º
7º
8
15º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 34% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 33.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 1
NUR
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NUR
3 - 1
AUG
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
NUR
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
STU
1 - 1
NUR
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 1
NUR
17%
21%
62%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Hankofen-Hailing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAH
2 - 1
ANS
28%
22%
50%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
4 - 1
HAH
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAH
4 - 2
TSA
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 2
HAH
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAH
0 - 1
ILL
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |