Nürnberg II vs Grossbardorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NUR
6 - 1
HEI
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
REU
0 - 4
NUR
53%
24%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
NUR
1 - 2
FRA
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
1 - 1
NUR
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NUR
1 - 1
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
KSC
2 - 1
GRO
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GRO
6 - 1
UNT
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
WEH
1 - 0
GRO
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GRO
0 - 4
DAR
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
VIK
1 - 1
GRO
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |