Nürnberg II vs Grossbardorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
TSV
1 - 2
NUR
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
NUR
1 - 4
186
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
UNT
0 - 3
NUR
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
NUR
3 - 0
LAN
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ANS
1 - 3
NUR
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 4
JRE
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
WEI
3 - 1
GRO
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
GRE
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
FUR
2 - 4
GRO
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
GRO
2 - 3
BAY
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |