Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II analysis

Nürnberg II Greuther Fürth II
46 ELO 48
14.4% Tilt 12%
3430º General ELO ranking 3577º
96º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
52.7%
Nürnberg II
22.8%
Draw
24.4%
Greuther Fürth II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
Nürnberg II
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.4%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth II
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nürnberg II
+13%
+2%
Greuther Fürth II

Points and table prediction

Nürnberg II
Their league position
Greuther Fürth II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
55
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Unterhaching
86
86
100%
Würzburger Kickers
80
80
100%
Bayern München II
71
71
100%
Nürnberg II
61
61
0%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
61
61
0%
Schweinfurt
59
59
100%
SV Wacker Burghausen
56
56
100%
Greuther Fürth II
55
55
100%
Illertissen
55
55
100%
FC Augsburg II
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Aubstadt
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Buchbach
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Vilzing
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Türkgücü München
14º
50
50
14º
0%
SpVgg Ansbach
15º
50
50
15º
0%
VfB Eichstätt
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Rain / Lech
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Hankofen-Hailing
18º
36
36
18º
100%
Heimstetten
19º
25
25
19º
100%
FC Pipinsried
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nürnberg II
Greuther Fürth II
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nürnberg II
Greuther Fürth II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nürnberg II
Nürnberg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2023
NUR
Nürnberg II
1 - 3
Bayern München II
BAY
24%
22%
54%
48 56 8 0
13 May. 2023
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
0 - 1
Nürnberg II
NUR
29%
24%
47%
47 43 4 +1
06 May. 2023
NUR
Nürnberg II
1 - 1
Heimstetten
HEI
81%
13%
6%
47 32 15 0
29 Apr. 2023
AUG
FC Augsburg II
4 - 2
Nürnberg II
NUR
35%
24%
41%
48 44 4 -1
23 Apr. 2023
NUR
Nürnberg II
1 - 1
Illertissen
ILL
68%
18%
14%
48 42 6 0

Matches

Greuther Fürth II
Greuther Fürth II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
HAH
Hankofen-Hailing
2 - 3
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
15%
23%
62%
46 32 14 0
14 May. 2023
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 0
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
18%
23%
59%
45 56 11 +1
06 May. 2023
AUB
Aubstadt
0 - 0
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
41%
26%
33%
45 43 2 0
22 Apr. 2023
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 1
Bayern München II
BAY
16%
20%
64%
44 55 11 +1
15 Apr. 2023
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
0 - 3
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
52%
24%
24%
42 44 2 +2