Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
FCP
2 - 1
NUR
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NUR
2 - 0
ANS
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 1
NUR
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WEI
0 - 1
NUR
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
NUR
1 - 2
MEM
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 1
SCS
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 1
GRE
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 0
FUR
49%
23%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 2
BAD
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
FRO
0 - 1
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |