Nürnberg II vs FC Starnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
BAY
1 - 1
NUR
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
NUR
2 - 0
TSA
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
NUR
1 - 2
TSV
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
SCS
2 - 1
NUR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
NUR
2 - 0
SVS
40%
25%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
FC Starnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
FCS
1 - 1
BAY
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
PSR
0 - 1
FCS
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
FCS
2 - 1
WEI
44%
27%
29%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
MEM
0 - 1
FCS
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
FCS
2 - 1
QUF
28%
26%
47%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |