Nürnberg II vs Passau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
TSV
0 - 2
NUR
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NUR
1 - 1
ING
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
FUR
3 - 3
NUR
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
NUR
2 - 2
JRE
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 0
NUR
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Passau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 2
FEU
13%
20%
67%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MEM
2 - 0
FCP
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 2
UNT
45%
26%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FRO
4 - 2
FCP
48%
25%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
TSV
0 - 0
FCP
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |