Nürnberg II vs Passau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
KEM
1 - 4
NUR
11%
20%
69%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
NUR
5 - 2
TSA
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
SVS
1 - 1
NUR
64%
19%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
NUR
0 - 0
SCW
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
FCS
1 - 2
NUR
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Passau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
FCP
1 - 1
TSV
25%
26%
49%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
WUR
4 - 0
FCP
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
KEM
1 - 1
FCP
20%
25%
55%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
FCP
1 - 4
TSA
25%
25%
50%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
SVS
5 - 1
FCP
81%
13%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |