Nürnberg II vs Passau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1998 |
BAY
1 - 2
NUR
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
NUR
0 - 0
JFO
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
NUR
2 - 2
PSR
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
LAN
4 - 1
NUR
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
NUR
2 - 1
WEI
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Passau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
FCP
0 - 4
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
PSR
1 - 1
FCP
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
FCP
1 - 1
LAN
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
WEI
0 - 0
FCP
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
FCP
4 - 3
MEM
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |