Nürnberg II vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2002 |
FEU
2 - 0
NUR
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
NUR
1 - 2
BAY
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FCF
1 - 2
NUR
25%
23%
53%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
NUR
2 - 2
NEU
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
AUG
3 - 0
NUR
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 0
ING
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
ING
0 - 0
WEI
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
TSV
0 - 1
ING
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
ING
2 - 2
BAY
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
WUR
0 - 1
ING
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |