Nürnberg II vs FC Falke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
QUF
0 - 2
NUR
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
NUR
3 - 1
ANS
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
186
0 - 2
NUR
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
NUR
3 - 2
FUR
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
TSV
4 - 0
NUR
23%
23%
53%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
FC Falke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FCF
2 - 2
WEI
35%
25%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
GRE
0 - 2
FCF
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
FCF
2 - 5
JRE
42%
26%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -3 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
UNT
3 - 2
FCF
63%
20%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
FCF
0 - 1
GER
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |