Nürnberg II vs FC Falke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
NEU
0 - 0
NUR
20%
22%
59%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
NUR
1 - 2
AUG
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2001 |
UNT
2 - 2
NUR
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
NUR
2 - 2
SCS
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
MEM
0 - 2
NUR
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
FC Falke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
FCF
0 - 4
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 1
FCF
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
FCF
2 - 0
WEI
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
TSV
3 - 1
FCF
77%
15%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
FCF
1 - 0
186
17%
23%
61%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +5 |