Nürnberg II vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2001 |
UNT
2 - 2
NUR
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
NUR
2 - 2
SCS
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
MEM
0 - 2
NUR
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
NUR
6 - 1
ISM
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
SCS
2 - 2
NUR
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
AUG
2 - 1
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 1
AUG
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
AUG
1 - 0
WEI
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2001 |
TSV
2 - 1
AUG
57%
22%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
AUG
3 - 0
SVS
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |