Nürnberg II vs Eltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2012 |
MEM
3 - 3
NUR
22%
24%
53%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NUR
2 - 3
SVS
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ING
0 - 1
NUR
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NUR
1 - 1
PFU
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
HES
0 - 0
NUR
37%
25%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
ELT
2 - 2
ROS
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
WUR
2 - 1
ELT
37%
23%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ELT
3 - 2
HEI
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 5
ELT
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
ELT
0 - 3
FRO
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |