Nürnberg II vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
83.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1984 |
NUR
0 - 3
SCJ
59%
20%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
NUR
1 - 0
SUL
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
NUR
1 - 3
ULM
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
ULM
1 - 1
NUR
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
TSN
3 - 2
NUR
75%
14%
11%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
KAI
1 - 3
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
MON
1 - 0
SCF
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
BVB
1 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1995 |
MON
3 - 0
WOL
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
KFC
3 - 2
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |