Nürnberg II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
KEM
0 - 2
NUR
20%
25%
56%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NUR
3 - 2
ANS
70%
19%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
TSV
0 - 0
NUR
30%
26%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NUR
0 - 1
WUR
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
HEI
0 - 1
NUR
24%
24%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BAY
3 - 1
WEI
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BAY
2 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
KEM
0 - 2
BAY
19%
24%
57%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 0
ANS
73%
17%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
TSV
1 - 2
BAY
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |