Nürnberg II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ISM
0 - 2
NUR
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
NUR
0 - 0
WUR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
NUR
1 - 0
HEI
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
FEU
0 - 5
NUR
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NUR
0 - 0
MEM
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BAY
2 - 0
WUR
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
BAY
4 - 2
GRO
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
TSV
0 - 2
BAY
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BAY
3 - 0
HEI
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
FEU
2 - 3
BAY
24%
25%
52%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |