Nürnberg II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2004 |
WUR
2 - 1
NUR
15%
21%
63%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
NUR
1 - 0
MEM
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
GRO
4 - 1
NUR
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NUR
0 - 3
TSV
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
SCS
1 - 2
NUR
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
WEI
0 - 1
BAY
40%
26%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
BAY
1 - 1
JRE
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
3 - 3
GRE
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
FUR
3 - 3
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
5 - 1
GRO
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |