Nürnberg II vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FCF
1 - 2
NUR
25%
23%
53%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
NUR
2 - 2
NEU
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
AUG
3 - 0
NUR
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
NUR
2 - 0
UNT
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
NUR
2 - 0
MEM
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BAY
2 - 4
GRE
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAY
31%
25%
45%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
BAY
0 - 1
186
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
QUF
0 - 1
BAY
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
BAY
1 - 0
BAY
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |