Nürnberg II vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2001 |
SVL
2 - 6
NUR
14%
22%
65%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2001 |
FCS
1 - 5
NUR
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
NUR
3 - 2
QUF
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2001 |
NUR
2 - 1
ISM
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
NEU
0 - 2
NUR
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2001 |
BAY
5 - 2
KEM
62%
21%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
TSA
2 - 0
BAY
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2001 |
AUG
1 - 2
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
BAY
4 - 1
WUR
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
BAY
2 - 1
TSV
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |