Nürnberg II vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
NUR
0 - 2
WOL
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BAY
3 - 0
NUR
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
NUR
2 - 0
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
FCP
2 - 1
NUR
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NUR
2 - 0
ANS
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2005 |
BAD
0 - 0
BAY
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BAD
2 - 2
SCS
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 2
BAD
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
BAD
3 - 1
FUR
49%
24%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
FRO
0 - 0
BAD
53%
23%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |