Nürnberg II vs Kempten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 0
NUR
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
NUR
7 - 1
ISM
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
QUF
2 - 7
NUR
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
NUR
1 - 1
BAD
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WUR
0 - 1
NUR
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kempten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
KEM
2 - 4
FEU
12%
18%
69%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
MEM
1 - 1
KEM
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
KEM
1 - 2
UNT
39%
25%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
FCP
3 - 4
KEM
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
KEM
1 - 1
TSV
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |