Cosenza vs Valle Grecanica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
NUO
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
ACP
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
CIT
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
NUO
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 2
ASD
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Valle Grecanica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 2
MES
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NIS
1 - 0
VAL
47%
25%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
VAL
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
NUV
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |