Cosenza vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
USF
1 - 0
NUO
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NUO
2 - 1
RAA
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 1
NUO
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
USP
0 - 0
RAA
45%
27%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
USP
53%
24%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
USP
1 - 2
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
APR
3 - 0
USP
41%
26%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
USP
1 - 1
ASM
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |